(These preseason ratings are based (only) on results from 2012 and before. In particular, nothing clever has been done to predict how teams' abilities will change from 2012 to 2013, we have only increased the standard deviations compared to the end of last season. Also, the six teams that are new to Division I have been assigned a rating that is as far below the top six teams in the FCS as those six teams are below the top six teams in the FBS, which is a long-winded way of saying that their ratings are not terribly meaningful.) erank team rating sd 1 2.18 Alabama 8.529 1.28 2 4.02 Oregon 7.718 1.34 3 8.02 Texas A&M 6.612 1.17 4 12.54 Georgia 5.994 1.22 5 13.37 Louisiana St 5.862 1.17 6 14.18 Stanford 5.745 1.12 7 15.82 Oklahoma 5.606 1.18 8 16.11 Notre Dame 5.57 1.17 9 16.38 Florida 5.546 1.17 10 18.02 Clemson 5.418 1.22 11 18.57 Kansas St 5.344 1.18 12 18.61 South Carolina 5.33 1.16 13 19.34 Florida St 5.307 1.24 14 22.36 Oklahoma St 5.047 1.23 15 24.72 Nebraska 4.845 1.18 16 25.71 Southern Cal 4.782 1.21 17 25.82 Boise St 4.781 1.22 18 26.09 Ohio St 4.73 1.14 19 26.84 Texas 4.682 1.16 20 28.85 Oregon St 4.543 1.16 21 29.28 Michigan 4.517 1.17 22 30.34 UCLA 4.467 1.22 23 31.22 Baylor 4.394 1.18 24 32.71 Vanderbilt 4.305 1.2 25 33.67 Arizona St 4.255 1.23 26 34.39 Texas Christian 4.185 1.15 27 35.85 Wisconsin 4.104 1.17 28 35.71 Northwestern 4.097 1.12 29 36.8 Brigham Young 4.063 1.23 30 36.97 Utah St 4.05 1.22 31 36.98 West Virginia 4.033 1.16 32 38.28 Arizona 3.954 1.15 33 38.62 Penn St 3.939 1.17 34 39.16 Mississippi 3.914 1.19 35 39.81 Michigan St 3.848 1.07 36 40.44 Washington 3.838 1.18 37 41.52 Cincinnati 3.775 1.17 38 41.81 Texas Tech 3.756 1.16 39 45.78 Mississippi St 3.565 1.27 40 45.27 Missouri 3.564 1.14 41 46.8 Iowa St 3.497 1.21 42 47.54 Louisville 3.445 1.14 43 48.36 San Jose St 3.407 1.17 44 48.45 Tulsa 3.403 1.17 45 48.78 Virginia Tech 3.371 1.1 46 49.49 Louisiana Tech 3.355 1.2 47 49.54 Northern Illinois 3.346 1.17 48 50.65 Fresno St 3.315 1.3 49 50.34 Georgia Tech 3.309 1.19 50 50.44 Miami Florida 3.299 1.17 51 52.45 San Diego St 3.194 1.15 52 53.31 Rutgers 3.154 1.17 53 53.47 North Carolina St 3.151 1.2 54 53.96 Arkansas 3.128 1.2 55 54.03 Pittsburgh 3.127 1.22 56 54.12 Syracuse 3.107 1.13 57 54.35 Utah 3.107 1.2 58 55.77 North Carolina 3.035 1.18 59 57.89 Central Florida 2.938 1.22 60 58.56 Auburn 2.903 1.21 61 59.94 Tennessee 2.828 1.15 62 62.99 Kent St 2.687 1.17 63 65.12 Purdue 2.595 1.23 64 64.91 Iowa 2.593 1.14 65 67.53 Toledo 2.472 1.14 66 69.45 North Dakota St 2.393 1.21 67 69.66 California 2.381 1.19 68 73.55 Arkansas St 2.213 1.24 69 73.51 Ball St 2.202 1.14 70 73.68 Louisiana-Lafayette 2.197 1.16 71 74.18 Virginia 2.176 1.17 72 77.83 Southern Methodist 2.03 1.3 73 78.9 Bowling Green 1.975 1.22 74 78.9 Louisiana-Monroe 1.969 1.17 75 79.75 Connecticut 1.931 1.16 76 80.08 Sam Houston St 1.93 1.28 77 80.52 Duke 1.904 1.22 78 81.06 South Florida 1.871 1.13 79 82.37 Kansas 1.819 1.17 80 83.41 Ohio 1.774 1.17 81 83.86 East Carolina 1.756 1.18 82 86.26 Nevada 1.648 1.11 83 86.87 Temple 1.63 1.2 84 86.91 Minnesota 1.628 1.2 85 87.7 Houston 1.607 1.33 86 88.44 Rice 1.561 1.17 87 89.1 Navy 1.533 1.16 88 89.89 Washington St 1.505 1.22 89 92.73 Marshall 1.378 1.12 90 95.7 Kentucky 1.266 1.26 91 95.86 Indiana 1.254 1.19 92 97.08 Boston College 1.202 1.16 93 97.75 Wake Forest 1.175 1.17 94 98.97 Maryland 1.125 1.17 95 101.42 Georgia Southern 1.025 1.17 96 101.69 South Dakota St 1.018 1.24 97 102.97 Middle Tennessee 0.963 1.18 98 104.21 Air Force 0.913 1.18 99 104.11 Western Kentucky 0.912 1.08 100 105.7 Wofford 0.852 1.17 101 106.3 Troy 0.826 1.13 102 106.59 Western Michigan 0.816 1.17 103 107.4 Central Michigan 0.783 1.16 104 109.55 Old Dominion 0.698 1.21 105 110.43 Central Arkansas 0.662 1.18 106 111.59 Cal Poly 0.615 1.17 107 112.26 Texas-El Paso 0.589 1.21 108 112.3 Illinois 0.589 1.28 109 112.35 Montana St 0.584 1.14 110 113.27 Wyoming 0.547 1.13 111 113.83 Towson 0.526 1.2 112 114.07 Indiana St 0.516 1.19 113 114.41 Eastern Washington 0.501 1.11 114 115.82 Northern Iowa 0.446 1.18 115 117.24 UAB 0.389 1.19 116 118.41 Appalachian St 0.342 1.17 117 118.74 Stony Brook 0.329 1.21 118 119.19 Miami Ohio 0.311 1.2 119 119.72 Illinois St 0.29 1.14 120 121.21 New Hampshire 0.23 1.21 121 121.74 Army 0.209 1.18 122 121.87 Southern Miss 0.204 1.17 123 122.39 Southern Illinois 0.183 1.18 124 122.63 Buffalo 0.173 1.2 125 122.79 Richmond 0.166 1.25 126 124.25 Youngstown St 0.108 1.21 127 129.04 North Texas -0.086 1.23 128 129.28 Eastern Michigan -0.094 1.2 129 129.93 Villanova -0.123 1.26 130 131.13 Northern Arizona -0.167 1.15 131 131.71 Florida International -0.19 1.14 132 132.04 Chattanooga -0.204 1.16 133 132.84 Memphis -0.239 1.21 134 135.07 Samford -0.329 1.2 135 135.24 Maine -0.342 1.31 136 135.55 James Madison -0.35 1.23 137 135.82 Tulane -0.361 1.22 138 136.07 Colorado St -0.374 1.27 139 137.2 New Mexico -0.419 1.25 140 138.13 Southern Utah -0.447 1.1 141 138.68 UNLV -0.476 1.2 142 138.92 Texas St -0.49 1.26 143 141.35 Missouri St -0.585 1.19 144 141.55 Montana -0.591 1.15 145 141.47 Texas-San Antonio -0.595 1.25 146 141.68 Colorado -0.602 1.23 147 141.94 Citadel -0.612 1.22 148 142.31 Sacramento St -0.62 1.13 149 142.57 Eastern Kentucky -0.637 1.2 150 142.61 Coastal Carolina -0.641 1.23 151 142.77 McNeese St -0.643 1.17 152 143.17 Delaware -0.663 1.22 153 144.94 North Dakota -0.734 1.19 154 145.71 Stephen F Austin -0.769 1.22 155 147.3 Lehigh -0.831 1.17 156 147.49 Florida Atlantic -0.836 1.14 157 147.46 Harvard -0.847 1.26 158 148.39 Tennessee-Martin -0.88 1.2 159 149.22 Albany -0.918 1.23 160 149.57 Furman -0.927 1.17 161 151.49 Eastern Illinois -1.007 1.16 162 153.99 Akron -1.116 1.18 163 154.14 Hawaii -1.143 1.36 164 158.5 Colgate -1.314 1.2 165 158.74 Jacksonville St -1.32 1.16 166 158.9 Murray St -1.331 1.19 167 159.19 UC Davis -1.342 1.17 168 159.61 William & Mary -1.354 1.12 169 162.84 Brown -1.505 1.18 170 164.51 Idaho -1.59 1.26 171 165.41 Tennessee St -1.621 1.19 172 168.31 Weber St -1.756 1.2 173 169.23 Massachusetts -1.808 1.28 174 169.71 Bethune-Cookman -1.828 1.26 175 171.36 Northern Colorado -1.899 1.22 176 171.58 Portland St -1.905 1.19 177 172.99 Southeastern Louisiana -1.988 1.3 178 173.69 South Alabama -2.007 1.2 179 173.64 Elon -2.013 1.26 180 176.31 Pennsylvania -2.123 1.14 181 177.04 Wagner -2.162 1.17 182 177.58 New Mexico St -2.213 1.34 183 179.05 Liberty -2.258 1.16 184 185.04 South Dakota -2.566 1.24 185 185.9 Fordham -2.593 1.12 186 185.91 Dartmouth -2.603 1.19 187 187.2 Northwestern St -2.683 1.28 188 188.66 Georgetown -2.742 1.17 189 189.29 Tennessee Tech -2.77 1.14 190 190.84 Drake -2.857 1.19 191 190.83 San Diego -2.871 1.28 192 191.67 Southeast Missouri St -2.899 1.18 193 191.98 Lafayette -2.913 1.16 194 193.83 Princeton -3.018 1.21 195 197.16 Arkansas-Pine Bluff -3.2 1.22 196 197.96 Cornell -3.238 1.19 197 198.38 Western Illinois -3.288 1.35 198 200.03 Holy Cross -3.349 1.17 199 201.05 Monmouth -3.405 1.16 200 202.09 Duquesne -3.46 1.14 201 204.58 Yale -3.613 1.2 202 207 Alabama St -3.756 1.21 203 206.89 South Carolina St -3.761 1.27 204 208.13 North Carolina A&T -3.821 1.2 205 208.69 Bucknell -3.852 1.19 206 209.33 Columbia -3.886 1.17 207 209.23 Jackson St -3.89 1.22 208 209.88 Dayton -3.932 1.23 209 210.16 Bryant -3.939 1.18 210 210.72 Jacksonville -3.98 1.21 211 211.9 Florida A&M -4.044 1.17 212 211.86 Howard -4.058 1.24 213 209.72 Abilene Christian -4.105 1.86 214 209.72 Charlotte -4.105 1.86 215 209.72 Houston Baptist -4.105 1.86 216 209.72 Incarnate Word -4.105 1.86 217 209.72 Mercer -4.105 1.86 218 209.72 Stetson -4.105 1.86 219 212.54 Rhode Island -4.118 1.32 220 213.12 St Francis PA -4.135 1.24 221 213.23 Western Carolina -4.16 1.31 222 213.89 Butler -4.179 1.22 223 214.57 Robert Morris -4.212 1.17 224 216.67 Delaware St -4.348 1.17 225 215.96 Lamar -4.352 1.36 226 217.68 North Carolina Central -4.415 1.17 227 217.72 Nicholls St -4.452 1.3 228 219.56 Alabama A&M -4.56 1.23 229 219.98 Norfolk St -4.59 1.24 230 220.25 Gardner-Webb -4.615 1.26 231 221.28 Sacred Heart -4.649 1.13 232 222.71 Marist -4.775 1.2 233 222.73 Austin Peay -4.82 1.33 234 224.97 Hampton -4.953 1.23 235 225.78 Central Connecticut St -5.013 1.22 236 225.23 Georgia St -5.027 1.37 237 226.83 Morgan St -5.07 1.15 238 227.42 Mississippi Valley St -5.175 1.3 239 228 Charleston Southern -5.215 1.28 240 229.54 Morehead St -5.319 1.22 241 230.69 Southern -5.413 1.2 242 231.37 VMI -5.512 1.29 243 233.01 Prairie View -5.625 1.2 244 233.51 Idaho St -5.78 1.41 245 235.54 Alcorn St -5.906 1.25 246 237.74 Presbyterian -6.21 1.34 247 240.38 Texas Southern -6.519 1.28 248 243.63 Grambling -7.012 1.23 249 246.38 Davidson -7.623 1.24 250 248.93 Savannah St -8.561 1.33 251 250.56 Campbell -9.529 1.36 252 250.75 Valparaiso -9.683 1.36